How to read encog predict
Hi,
I'm running encog stock prediction sample, but don't understand how to read this output values, it is a 30 days predicted ?, where can a get the direction ?? up or down for next day ? I really dont understand this outputs.
Can anyone help me ?
This is the output:
Day 1:actual=0.00(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=4.579085129320967E-4
Day 2:actual=0.00(up),predict=-0.00(up),diff=0.0013533539912618795
Day 3:actual=-0.01(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.012163887523634832
Day 4:actual=0.01(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.011237943411853461
Day 5:actual=-0.00(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.0022663964432000916
Day 6:actual=-0.00(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.005980245537053445
Day 7:actual=-0.02(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.023868521348292482
Day 8:actual=0.00(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.003961960008844731
Day 9:actual=-0.01(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.014112243721126363
Day 10:actual=0.01(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.0053829910914853065
Day 11:actual=-0.02(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.02859448165247269
Day 12:actual=-0.02(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.020253514391784803
Day 13:actual=0.01(up),predict=-0.00(up),diff=0.01484997338394907
Day 14:actual=-0.00(down),predict=0.01(down),diff=0.009987345180581003
Day 15:actual=0.02(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.013615807620832244
Day 16:actual=0.01(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.006792585041889449
Day 17:actual=0.01(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.0031922835766174246
Day 18:actual=0.00(up),predict=-0.00(up),diff=0.002116448717998977
Day 19:actual=-0.01(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.01099604141385572
Day 20:actual=0.00(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=4.743643415345602E-4
Day 21:actual=-0.02(down),predict=-0.00(down),diff=0.013906036668368208
Day 22:actual=-0.02(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.026411983471910202
Day 23:actual=-0.01(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.0091319057907423
Day 24:actual=0.00(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=4.4600309531522765E-4
Day 25:actual=-0.02(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.022637889798304636
Day 26:actual=-0.02(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.02237607969010242
Day 27:actual=0.02(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.017381982508933157
Day 28:actual=0.02(up),predict=0.00(up),diff=0.01794897861552167
Day 29:actual=-0.01(down),predict=0.00(down),diff=0.015859880187297486
Day 30:actual=0.01(up),predict=-0.00(up),diff=0.008669875560400744
Direction correct:12/30
Directional Accuracy:40.00%
This is a projection for next 30 days or just a prediction for next day trade ?
What is direction correct 12/30 ???
So what is your direction for next day ??
Regards.




From what I understand each prediction was a prediction of what would happen on that particular day, whereas 'actual' refers to the actual result from that day. '12/30' refers means that the prediction was correct 12 out of 30 days.
What I am struggling with is how do I go about predicting what tomorrow will be, in this case day 31.
Any ideas?